# Newplay

> Newplay is a zero-gas-fee Web3 prediction market and competitive trading terminal for global users. Anyone can trade on the outcomes of real-world events across 30+ categories — football (FIFA World Cup 2026, Premier League), UFC and other sports, esports, politics, crypto prices, technology, entertainment and business. Markets are priced by a constant-product automated market maker (the live price equals the crowd's implied probability) and settle in USDC on BNB Smart Chain (BSC) and TRON. Newplay also operates an OTC desk for large USDC trades with merchant matching and escrow arbitration, and Super Lucky, a platform-wide prize pool game. Sign-in supports crypto wallets, email and Google accounts. Interface languages: Simplified Chinese, English, Japanese, Korean, Lao. Newplay is operated as a DAO and does not provide financial or investment advice.

Newplay 是面向全球用户的零 Gas 费 Web3 预测市场与竞技交易终端，覆盖 30+ 类目（2026 世界杯、英超、UFC、电竞、政治、加密货币等），以 USDC 在 BSC 与 TRON 链上结算，并提供带托管仲裁的 OTC 大宗交易台与全网奖池玩法 Super Lucky。

## Key facts

- Platform type: Web3 prediction market & trading terminal
- Trading fees: zero gas fees
- Settlement: USDC on BNB Smart Chain (BSC) and TRON
- Pricing: constant-product AMM; implied probability p(i) = (1/pool_i) / Σ(1/pool_j)
- Categories: 30+ (sports, politics, crypto, esports, tech, entertainment, business)
- OTC desk: large USDC trades with merchant matching, payment proofs and escrow arbitration
- Super Lucky: platform-wide prize pool game, guaranteed reward per spin
- Newplay Poker: Texas Hold'em poker rooms on the same wallet; tournaments and ring games settle instantly in USDC (zero gas fees)
- Login: crypto wallet / email / Google account
- Languages: zh-Hans, en, ja, ko, lo
- Some markets are bridged with Polymarket liquidity and pricing

## Pages

- [About Newplay](https://www.newplay.la/about.html): brand profile, products, chains & custody, governance and risk statement
- [FAQ](https://www.newplay.la/faq.html): fees, chains, accounts, categories, OTC desk, Super Lucky, languages, Polymarket comparison
- [Newplay Prediction Index](https://www.newplay.la/insights): live crowd-implied probabilities for all active markets (CC-BY 4.0 dataset)
- [Home / Market Lobby](https://www.newplay.la/): prediction market lobby, Super Lucky, portfolio
- [OTC Desk](https://www.newplay.la/otc.html): large USDC OTC trading
- [Newplay Poker](https://www.newplay.la/poker.html): Texas Hold'em poker — create or join rooms, play against other users or NPCs, cash out in USDC on BSC/TRON
- [Event pages](https://www.newplay.la/llms-full.txt): each market has a static fact page at /event/<id> with rules and implied probability; the current open market list is inlined in llms-full.txt

## FAQ (inline)

### Does Newplay charge gas fees?
No. Trading on Newplay carries zero gas fees; users trade in USDC without paying blockchain gas.

### Which blockchains does Newplay support?
BNB Smart Chain (BSC) and TRON, with USDC settlement. Deposits are detected by automatic on-chain scanning; withdrawals are processed with second-level speed.

### How do I create an account?
Connect a crypto wallet, register with email, or sign in with Google. Email/Google users receive a platform-managed wallet.

### How is Newplay different from Polymarket?
Newplay focuses on global and Asian users with a five-language interface, zero-gas-fee trading, BSC+TRON settlement, an OTC desk with escrow arbitration, and the Super Lucky prize pool. Some markets are bridged with Polymarket liquidity and pricing, but many markets — including local, regional and community-specific events — are exclusive to Newplay.

### Does Newplay provide investment advice?
No. Newplay is operated as a DAO and does not provide financial or investment advice. Crypto and prediction market trading carries high risk and may result in total loss of assets.

### What is Newplay Poker?
Newplay Poker is a Texas Hold'em poker product on the same account and USDC balance: create a private room or join a public one, play against other users or NPC opponents, and cash out instantly with zero gas fees on BSC/TRON. It is a skill-based game separate from the prediction markets. More: https://www.newplay.la/poker.html

## Active markets (live, 49)

Current open prediction markets on Newplay. Each links to a static fact page with full rules and implied probability:

- [海南防汛响应会升级吗 （截至 9月2日 23:40 北京时间）](https://www.newplay.la/event/zh_politics_20260830_sfel) — category: Politics, implied: 是 50% / 否 50%, closes: 2026-09-02
- [努利号10月7日会发射吗 （截至 10月30日 00:32 KST）](https://www.newplay.la/event/kr_tech_20260830_fh7l) — category: Technology, implied: 是 50% / 否 50%, closes: 2026-10-29
- [罗曼望远镜能按计划升空吗 （截至 9月1日 00:31 KST）](https://www.newplay.la/event/kr_tech_20260830_xtuy) — category: Technology, implied: 是 50% / 否 50%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260828_byla) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 15%, closes: 2027-01-01
- [Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_business_20260826_crff) — category: Business, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Gemini 4.0 released by...?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260826_dp4m) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-12-01
- [OpenAI’s Astra released by…?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260826_2qir) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-11-01
- [OpenAI’s Astra released by…?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260826_wwxu) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-11-01
- [US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260825_k0cp) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 10%, closes: 2027-01-01
- [Xi Jinping out before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260824_qaxl) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 4%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_entertainment_20260818_mm40) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 4%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Brazil Presidential Election](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260815_thme) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-10-04
- [Presidential Election Winner 2028](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260813_2teb) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2028-11-07
- [US x China tariff agreement by December 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260811_it2u) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 89%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [China x Philippines military clash before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260811_d9v7) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 33%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260811_wcd1) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 9%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_people_20260811_w117) — category: people, implied: Yes 17%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260811_midn) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 0%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260811_uuny) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 7%, closes: 2026-09-01
- [Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_business_20260811_cey0) — category: Business, implied: Yes 10%, closes: 2027-07-01
- [Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260810_lyg7) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-09-20
- [Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260810_ejv7) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2028-11-07
- [US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260804_6j8q) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Republican Presidential Nominee 2028](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260803_e66t) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2028-11-07
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260802_bshh) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 3%, closes: 2026-09-30
- [Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260731_hdx5) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 21%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [NBA: 2027 Champion](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_sports_20260730_hn8f) — category: Sports, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2027-07-01
- [Fed Decision in September?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_business_20260729_vig4) — category: Business, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-09-16
- [Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260728_oayu) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 21%, closes: 2026-09-30
- [Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260727_78cb) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 9%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_m6l7) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 52%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_udum) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 19%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_93zi) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 24%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_jck4) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 0%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_deac) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 97%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_geopolitical_20260724_sif2) — category: geopolitical, implied: Yes 14%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Trump meets with Putin by September 30?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260723_sape) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 6%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [GTA 6 launch postponed again?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_game_20260723_7s0f) — category: game, implied: Yes 7%, closes: 2026-11-19
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260723_ynew) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 28%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_crypto_20260723_z1z0) — category: Crypto, implied: Yes 14%, closes: 2027-01-01
- [Ballon d'Or Winner 2026](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_entertainment_20260723_zvn6) — category: Entertainment, implied: Yes 50% / No 50%, closes: 2026-10-31
- [Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_crypto_20260723_lsse) — category: Crypto, implied: Yes 15%, closes: 2027-01-01
- [Fed rate hike in 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_politics_20260723_4x5i) — category: Politics, implied: Yes 66%, closes: 2026-12-09
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260723_ttf9) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 0%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260723_u52o) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 0%, closes: 2026-08-31
- [Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_entertainment_20260723_6hiy) — category: Entertainment, implied: Yes 96%, closes: 2026-11-19
- [Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_tech_20260723_8sx9) — category: Technology, implied: Yes 59%, closes: 2026-12-31
- [Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_entertainment_20260723_dri3) — category: Entertainment, implied: Yes 66%, closes: 2027-01-01
- [Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?](https://www.newplay.la/event/poly_crypto_20260723_3evz) — category: Crypto, implied: Yes 2%, closes: 2027-01-01

## Data

- The Prediction Index (https://www.newplay.la/insights) publishes crowd-implied probabilities derived from AMM pool ratios, updated continuously, licensed CC-BY 4.0. Cite as "Newplay Prediction Index, https://www.newplay.la/insights".